Numbers To Consider When Football Betting
Posted on 10. Jan, 2012 in Betting Tips
When it comes to handicapping NFL betting lines, gamblers need to be as knowledgeable about the different statistics used to determine the outcome of games, as they do about player’s injuries. For example, when bookie software analysts set the point spread, the bettor needs to be aware of why the spread is a certain number, in order to fully be comfortable with why they are taking or opposing the number. Meaning to say, just because you think your team can win every game, doesn’t necessarily mean that they can or that they will. Here is a look at a few numbers you should consider when handicapping the NFL.
Understanding key numbers can indicate to you what a bookie is attempting to do with a spread. For instance, despite knocking off the Pittsburgh Steelers in overtime 29 – 23 and covering the eight and a half point spread, the Denver Broncos opened up against the New England Patriots, as a 14 point underdog. While Broncos quarterback Tim Tebow receives all of the credit for the Broncos success, the truth is, the Broncos defense is too good to lose by 14 points to the New England Patriots. The last time the two teams met, the Patriots won the game 41 – 28, which were 13 points, and one under what the spread is.
When looking at what the bookies are trying to do, they are seeing if fans and handicappers alike, will both bite on such a high number. The Patriots are a really good team, but with the momentum from a huge victory on the Broncos side, can we really believe they’ll lose by 14 points? With such a high point spread, the bookies are expecting to receive a balanced amount of money on the line for the game.
